JEE Mathematics · Hard

Probability: Bayes theorem MCQ

Solve this quality-checked JEE multiple-choice question, then review the correct answer and explanation.

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Bayes theoremHardQuestion 270013

Question

Bag I has 3 red, 4 black. Bag II has 5 red, 6 black. A bag is selected at random and a red ball is drawn. P(it came from Bag I) is:
  1. A
    33/68
    Correct
  2. B
    21/52
  3. C
    3/7
  4. D
    5/11

Correct answer

33/68

Explanation

By Bayes' theorem, P(I∣R)=[(1/2)(3/7)]/[(1/2)(3/7)+(1/2)(5/11)]=(3/7)/(3/7+5/11)=<strong>33/68</strong>P(I|R)=[(1/2)(3/7)]/[(1/2)(3/7)+(1/2)(5/11)]=(3/7)/(3/7+5/11)=<strong>33/68</strong>.